Nov. 24 risk map

The Nov. 24 risk map from the Harvard Global Health Institute.

Following are updates on COVID-19 cases and test numbers in the U.S., North Carolina and in High Country counties. The following reports may differ from other sources due to the varied reporting times of multiple health agencies and other sources. (Mobile users: Swipe left on the tables to view all columns.)

AppHealthCare has lowered the total number of COVID-19 cases in Watauga County after reconciling its data and finding duplicate cases.

"To track and compile COVID-19 cases for our data dashboard, we monitor multiple data systems and regularly reconcile all the data systems to ensure we provide the most accurate data," said AppHealthCare Director of Communications and Compliance Melissa Bracey. "In a recent reconciliation of the data, we found duplicate cases and other cases that needed to be transferred to another county or jurisdiction based on their place of residence. As we regularly reconcile the data, there may be some fluctuations in the data that can cause the it to increase or decrease day-to-day."

High Country Cases

Sources of case information in Watauga and surrounding counties include AppHealthCare (Nov. 24), Caldwell County Health Department (Nov. 24), Wilkes Health (Nov. 25), AveryCountyNC.gov (Nov. 19) and Tennessee Department of Health (Nov. 24). Not all counties report the same categories of data. Death data is cumulative since the agency started collecting data during the pandemic. 

The daily new cases per 100,000 people is a 7-day rolling average and comes from the Harvard Global Health Institute (Nov. 24), which calculates four risk levels: Green (<1 daily new case per 100,000), Yellow (1<10 daily new cases per 100,000), Orange (10<25 daily new cases per 100,000) and Red (>25 daily new cases per 100,000).

- Resident Cases Active Cases Recovered/Inactive Deaths Daily New Cases Per 100K People
Watauga 6,177 48 N/A 40 12.7 (Risk Level: Orange)
Ashe 3,433 47 N/A 61 28.9 (Risk Level: Red)
Avery 2,847 55 2,847 39 28.5 (Risk Level: Red)
Caldwell 16,051 180 15,651 220 21.4 (Risk Level: Orange)
Wilkes 10,987 243 N/A 188 25.7 (Risk Level: Red)
Carter 10,831 159 10,445 227 24.6 (Risk Level: Orange)
Johnson 3,897 121 3,724 52 61.8 (Risk Level: Red)

App State Cases

There is some overlap between Watauga County and App State's reported case numbers, as any App State student living on campus or in Watauga County is counted in Watauga's numbers, according to AppHealthCare. Appalachian State also includes students and staff who are residing in other counties in its reported numbers.

App State reports 70 percent of students are vaccinated and 82 percent of employees are vaccinated as of Nov. 22. 

For the week ending on Nov. 22, App State conducted 1,024 on-campus tests with 67positives — or a 0.7 percent positivity rate. App State reports 592 positive COVID-19 tests since Aug. 1, 2021. 

Active cases data is as of Nov. 22. 

Students Employees Total
Active Cases 8 3 11

AppHealthCare District (Watauga, Ashe and Alleghany)

As of Nov. 24, AppHealthCare has directed 69 people in Watauga County and 64 people in Ashe County to quarantine due to being exposed to a confirmed COVID-19 case. These individuals are currently in quarantine and monitoring their symptoms. 

The Triad HealthCare Preparedness Coalition region — which includes Alexander, Alleghany, Ashe, Caldwell, Catawba, Davie, Davidson, Forsyth, Guilford, Iredell, Randolph, Rockingham, Rowan, Stokes, Surry, Watauga, Wilkes and Yadkin — has 335 people in the hospital with 79 people in the intensive care unit as of Nov. 24. 

Non-resident cases are cumulative totals updated Nov. 24 and not all are active.

Positive Tests Among Non-County Residents
698

Watauga County Clusters & Outbreaks

Data is provided by AppHealthCare for outbreaks and clusters that are active and ongoing. An outbreak is defined as two or more laboratory-confirmed cases. A cluster is defined as a minimum of five cases with illness onsets or initial positive results within a 14-day period and plausible epidemiologic linkage between cases. An outbreak or cluster is considered over if 28 days have passed after the latest date of symptom onset in a symptomatic person or first date of specimen collection from the most recent asymptomatic person, whichever is later.

The number of cases are current at the release of the weekly COVID-19 Situation Update from AppHealthCare, most recently dated Nov. 19.

Facility or Setting Active Cases Cumulative Cases Last Positive Result
Cottages of Boone 2 16 11/5/2021
Watauga County Detention Center 0 8 10/23/2021
Thunder Hill Residence Hall 0 16 10/21/2021
The Standard at Boone 0 11 10/20/2021

CDC Level of COVID-19 Community Transmission

The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention released mask guidance on July 27, 2021, that recommends those who are vaccinated against COVID-19 should wear a mask in a public indoor settings in areas of substantial or high transmission. The CDC lists each county and its level of community transmission for a weeklong period. The community transmission map can be found at covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#county-view

The community level transmission listed is between Nov. 17 and Nov. 23. 

County Community Transmission Level
Watauga Substantial (Orange)
Ashe High (Red)
Avery High (Red)
Caldwell High (Red)
Wilkes High (Red)
Carter High (Red)
Johnson High (Red)

N.C. and U.S. Cases

North Carolina data comes from the N.C. Department of Health and Human Services (Nov. 24). The number of hospitalized patients represents those currently hospitalized in reporting hospitals and is not a cumulative total of people hospitalized. The estimate of people who have recovered is provided by NCDHHS once per week and is based on the estimated median recovery time for non-hospitalized cases and for hospitalized cases (Nov. 22). U.S. data is from Johns Hopkins University & Medicine (Nov. 25). The daily new cases per 100,000 people is a 7-day rolling average and comes from the Harvard Global Health Institute (Nov. 24), which calculates four risk levels: Green (<1 daily new case per 100,000), Yellow (1<10 daily new cases per 100,000), Orange (10<25 daily new cases per 100,000) and Red (>25 daily new cases per 100,000).

- Cases Deaths Hospitalized In the ICU Recovered/Inactive Daily New Cases Per 100K People
N.C. 1,524,078 18,676 1,113 260 1,477,280 18 (Risk Level: Orange)
U.S. 48,123,225 775,768 N/A N/A N/A 29 (Risk Level: Red)

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(7) comments

RightBoots

I suggest that the date be added to each new publication of this article to make it unique and so that these six same old comments don't keep showing up on each new article.

E.g. High Country COVID-19 Dashboard, 11/04/2021

Thanks

jantodd6462@gmail.com

Thanks for this data and for keeping us informed. I'd like to see the % of population vaccinated on a graph, and the number of active cases by week over time. The total number of cases (since early 2020) isn't as helpful on a graph - - perhaps the latest number reported in the text would suffice (in my humble opinion.) I want a better idea of where we stand this week, compared to last week and the week before that. Thank you!

guest103

Actually .... with a 19.3% positivity rate with the County's population of 56,000 +/- (56,000 x .193) equates to 10,808 infections. Based on the death rate which you say is insignificant, that results in over 700 deaths in a county of 56,000 people (10,808 x .068). Sounds like nothing to worry about to me.

kpennington64@gmail.com

I'm confused. Did 11 democrats fake their own deaths so far to keep up this Fake Virus Hoax or did they actually commit suicide? Need to check with QAnon and get to the bottom of this! (I shouldn't have to say this but that's sarcasm for you QAnon folks)

andy@andybrowning.com

.68% death rate in the county = state of emergency. People have lost their minds.

thechaosaysmuuuu

So glad that you seem to care so much about your neighbors.

Of course, given that you're down in Charlotte, I fail to see why you feel the need to impose your dimwitted and cruel attitude on folks up here...

guest113

Your immature habit of calling people names really detracts from your credibility, Moo. Just sayin...

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