Jan. 11 risk map (Jan. 8 data)

County COVID-19 risk levels are calculated by the Harvard Global Health Institute based on Jan. 8 data. The risk levels are calculated based on a 7-day rolling average of the daily new cases per 100,000 people. The risk levels are Green (25 daily new cases per 100,000).

Following are updates on COVID-19 cases and test numbers in the U.S., North Carolina and in High Country counties. The following reports may differ from other sources due to the varied reporting times of multiple health agencies and other sources. (Mobile users: Swipe left on the tables to view all columns.)

N.C. and U.S. Cases

North Carolina data comes from the N.C. Department of Health and Human Services (Jan. 15). The number of hospitalized patients represents those currently hospitalized in reporting hospitals and is not a cumulative total of people hospitalized. The estimate of people who have recovered is provided by NCDHHS once per week and is based on the estimated median recovery time for non-hospitalized cases and for hospitalized cases (Jan. 11). U.S. data is from Johns Hopkins University & Medicine (Jan. 15). The daily new cases per 100,000 people is a 7-day rolling average and comes from the Harvard Global Health Institute (Jan. 14), which calculates four risk levels: Green (<1 daily new case per 100,000), Yellow (1<10 daily new cases per 100,000), Orange (10<25 daily new cases per 100,000) and Red (>25 daily new cases per 100,000).

Dec. 19 update: NCDHHS stated on Dec. 18 that the agency had identified 1,482 duplicate cases that were to be removed from the COVID-19 dashboard effective tomorrow Dec. 19. These duplicates represent 0.3 percent of cases statewide and were spread over the course of the pandemic and across the state. This change will result in a lower number of new cases being added statewide. Three counties will have a negative number of new cases for Dec. 19: Avery (-11), Mitchell (-11) and Watauga (-6). 

Dec. 22 update: Johns Hopkins University & Medicine stated that its "total recovered” column currently indicates “no data” when researchers determine there is no reliable source to provide such information in a real-time manner. Johns Hopkins University & Medicine reported 6,246,605 recovered patients in the U.S. as of Dec. 12.

- Cases Deaths Hospitalized Recovered/Inactive Daily New Cases Per 100K People
N.C. 659,840 7,933 3,916 521,475 81.2 (Risk Level: Red)
U.S. 23,323,615 388,887 N/A N/A 73 (Risk Level: Red)

High Country Cases

Sources of case information in Watauga and surrounding counties include AppHealthCare (Jan. 15), Caldwell County Health Department (Jan. 14), Wilkes Health (Jan. 11), AveryCountyNC.gov (Jan. 6) and Tennessee Department of Health (Jan. 15). Avery numbers are reported once per week. Not all counties report the same categories of data. 

NCDHHS stated on Dec. 18 that the agency had identified 1,482 duplicate cases that were to be removed from the COVID-19 dashboard effective tomorrow Dec. 19. These duplicates represent 0.3 percent of cases statewide and were spread over the course of the pandemic and across the state. This change will result in a lower number of new cases being added statewide. Three counties will have a negative number of new cases for Dec. 19: Avery (-11), Mitchell (-11) and Watauga (-6). 

There is some overlap between Watauga County and App State's reported case numbers, as any App State student living on campus or in Watauga County is counted in Watauga's numbers, according to AppHealthCare. Appalachian State also includes students and staff who are residing in other counties in its reported numbers.

The daily new cases per 100,000 people is a 7-day rolling average and comes from the Harvard Global Health Institute (Jan. 13), which calculates four risk levels: Green (<1 daily new case per 100,000), Yellow (1<10 daily new cases per 100,000), Orange (10<25 daily new cases per 100,000) and Red (>25 daily new cases per 100,000).

- Resident Cases Active Cases Recovered/Inactive Deaths Daily New Cases Per 100K People
Watauga 3,384 207 N/A 25 52.9 (Risk Level: Red)
Ashe 1,714 115 N/A 38 80.3 (Risk Level: Red)
Avery 1,722 168 1,533 21 131.8 (Risk Level: Red)
Caldwell 7,254 3,789 3,378 87 97.3 (Risk Level: Red)
Wilkes 4,532 411 N/A 80 74.3 (Risk Level: Red)
Carter 5,053 382 4,559 112 60.8 (Risk Level: Red)
Johnson 2,005 177 1,797 31 69.1 (Risk Level: Red)

Watauga County Clusters & Outbreaks

Data is provided by AppHealthCare for outbreaks and clusters that are active and ongoing. An outbreak is defined as two or more laboratory-confirmed cases. A cluster is defined as a minimum of five cases with illness onsets or initial positive results within a 14-day period and plausible epidemiologic linkage between cases. An outbreak or cluster is considered over if 28 days have passed after the latest date of symptom onset in a symptomatic person or first date of specimen collection from the most recent asymptomatic person, whichever is later.

The number of cases are current at the release of the weekly Situation Update, most recently dated Jan. 7.

Facility or Setting Active Cases Cumulative Cases Last Positive Result
Foley Center 3 staff, 5 residents 18 staff, 19 residents 01/03/2021
Glenbridge Health and Rehabilitation 0 7 staff, 2 resident, 1 death 12/23/2020
Mountain Care Center 0 1 staff, 5 residents 10/28/2020
App State volleyball 0 7 10/29/2020
Thunder Hill Residence Hall (App State dorm) 0 34 11/13/2020
Raven Rocks Residence Hall (App State dorm) 0 17 10/29/2020
Eggers (App State dorm) 0 10 11/4/2020
Summit (App State dorm) 0 12 11/10/2020
Gardner (App State dorm) 0 7 11/3/2020
Coltrane (App State dorm) 0 6 10/31/2020
Doughton Hall (App State dorm) 0 7 11/10/2020
East Hall (App State dorm) 0 10 11/5/2020
Mountaineer Hall (App State dorm) 0 10 11/23/2020
Cottages of Boone 0 66 12/10/2020
University Highlands 0 36 11/23/2020
Highland Crossing 0 9 10/26/2020
Standard at Boone 0 22 11/19/2020
Watauga County Schools 0 5 staff 11/14/2020

AppHealthCare District (Watauga, Ashe and Alleghany)

As of Jan. 15, AppHealthCare is also currently monitoring 365 people in Watauga County, 246 people in Ashe and people who reside outside of the three-county area due to those people being exposed to a confirmed COVID-19 case. These individuals are currently in quarantine and monitoring their symptoms.

Hospitalizations and non-resident cases are cumulative totals updated Jan. 14, and not all are active.

Residents Hospitalized (Cumulative Total) Positive Tests Among Non-County Residents
118 287

Appalachian State

Appalachian State is reporting cases among students, employees and subcontractors, regardless of where the cases are located, if they can be confirmed with public health officials. The “employees” category includes both faculty and staff. The “subcontractors” category indicates individuals working on campus construction projects who are employed by private construction companies, rather than the university. There is some overlap between Watauga County and App State's reported case numbers, as any App State student living on campus or in Watauga County is counted in Watauga's numbers, according to AppHealthCare. Numbers updated Jan. 14.

- Total Cases Active Cases
Students 1,267 30
Employees 105 5
Subcontractors 44 0
TOTAL 1,416 35

Testing

Testing numbers could be incomplete due to differences in reporting from health departments and other agencies. Sources include AppHealthCare (as of Jan. 2), NCDHHS (Jan. 9), Caldwell County Health Department (Jan. 9) and Tennessee Department of Health (Jan. 10). AppHealthCare is reporting test numbers once per week. Wilkes Health and Toe River Health District are not reporting the number of tests completed.

The percent positive is reported by NCDHHS and represents the average percent of tests that are positive during the last two weeks. Counties with fewer than an average of 50 daily tests for the two weeks are not shown because there are not enough electronically reported tests in that county to provide a reliable percent positive calculation. The percent positive may fluctuate substantially as there are a smaller number of tests than the state percent positive. All data are preliminary and subject to change. Percent positive data is as of Jan. 8.

State/County Total Tests Completed % Positive
N.C. 7,498,343 13.7%
Watauga 39,656 9.8%
Ashe 18,564 15.0%
Avery N/A 17.5%
Caldwell 49,201 14.05%
Wilkes N/A 12.8%
Carter 34,973 N/A
Johnson 13,691 N/A

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(1) comment

kpennington64@gmail.com

I'm confused. Did 11 democrats fake their own deaths so far to keep up this Fake Virus Hoax or did they actually commit suicide? Need to check with QAnon and get to the bottom of this! (I shouldn't have to say this but that's sarcasm for you QAnon folks)

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